Marcus Foligno vs Nate Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Foligno wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 47.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 75.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 95.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 87.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Foligno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Foligno
Thompson
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (553)
54.1% (5,812)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
54.8% (135)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (76)
47.9% (1,381)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thompson
Home
46.0% (365)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.9% (328)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Foligno
Thompson
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
49.8%
52.9%
P3
42.7%
52.8%
OT
36.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
46.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |