Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.9% vs Thompson 50.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 73.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Foligno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Foligno
Thompson
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (258)
52.2% (785)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
42.9% (14)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
45.7% (175)
+8.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thompson
Home
43.4% (143)
54.1% (475)
Away
53.2% (158)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Foligno
Thompson
P1
46.7%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
49.5%
P3
45.2%
54.0%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |