Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Foligno wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 47.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 78.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 77.2%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Foligno
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Foligno
Stastny
Last 10: Foligno 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Foligno
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
5
Foligno
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Foligno
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (553)
54.6% (10,616)
-7.0%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
59.1% (1,994)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (76)
52.9% (1,119)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Foligno is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Foligno shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stastny
Home
46.0% (365)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.9% (328)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Foligno
Stastny
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
49.8%
55.4%
P3
42.7%
53.5%
OT
36.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
46.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |