Scouting Report
Marcus Foligno holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 50.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Foligno
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (13)
59.2% (370)
-5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
83.3% (6)
51.7% (58)
+31.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Foligno is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Foligno shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stastny
Home
70.0% (10)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.0% (10)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Foligno
Stastny
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
60.0%
54.2%
P3
100.0%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
60.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%