Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.9% vs Stastny 53.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 69.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 68.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 69.5%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Foligno
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Foligno
Stastny
Last 10: Foligno 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Foligno
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
5
Foligno
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Foligno
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (258)
53.2% (995)
-6.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
57.6% (158)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
61.4% (57)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Foligno shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stastny
Home
43.4% (143)
55.1% (586)
Away
53.2% (158)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Foligno
Stastny
P1
46.7%
54.7%
P2
53.1%
53.1%
P3
45.2%
54.2%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |