Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.4%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Foligno
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Foligno
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Foligno
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (15)
53.2% (823)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
48.4% (95)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Foligno is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Foligno shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Foligno
Monahan
Home
50.0% (12)
54.6% (529)
Away
37.5% (8)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Foligno
Monahan
P1
16.7%
49.0%
P2
85.7%
55.4%
P3
28.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |