Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.1% vs Monahan 49.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Foligno
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Foligno
Monahan
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (98)
49.0% (1,435)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.2% (281)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (24)
50.9% (114)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Foligno is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Foligno shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Foligno
Monahan
Home
47.9% (71)
51.2% (936)
Away
37.7% (61)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Foligno
Monahan
P1
48.5%
48.8%
P2
45.5%
48.9%
P3
40.4%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |