Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hrivik on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hrivik shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Hrivik 45.6% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hrivik 87.8%
Defensive zone
Hrivik 76.0%
Neutral zone
Hrivik 82.0%
Result
Marek Hrivik favored at 83.6%
16.4%
83.6%
Grant
Hrivik
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Grant
Hrivik
Last 7: Grant 1-6 Hrivik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hrivik
0
4
Grant
Hrivik
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Hrivik
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hrivik
0
1
Grant
Hrivik
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hrivik
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
40.5% (79)
+12.7%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
0.0% (1)
+61.5%
On power play, Grant has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hrivik shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Hrivik is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Grant
Hrivik
Home
50.9% (161)
50.0% (26)
Away
53.4% (223)
35.2% (54)
By Period
Grant
Hrivik
P1
53.4%
46.4%
P2
47.9%
37.5%
P3
56.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Hrivik
40.0%▬
40.7%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Marek Hrivik |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |