Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Arcobello 48.2% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 57.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.5%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 52.4%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Roy
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Arcobello
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
2
Roy
Arcobello
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Arcobello
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
30.0% (10)
+15.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Roy shoots left. Arcobello is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Roy
Arcobello
Home
44.9% (354)
30.0% (10)
Away
46.4% (293)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Roy
Arcobello
P1
47.0%
25.0%
P2
47.2%
25.0%
P3
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
30.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |