Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 45.9% vs Arcobello 53.2% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 77.7%
Defensive zone
Jooris 76.5%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 52.3%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Jooris
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jooris
Arcobello
Last 8: Jooris 4-4 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
4
Jooris
Arcobello
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
3
0
Jooris
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (194)
50.5% (196)
-2.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
70.0% (40)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
30.5% (59)
83.3% (6)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Jooris is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Jooris shoots right. Arcobello is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Jooris
Arcobello
Home
43.4% (152)
57.1% (84)
Away
45.7% (105)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Jooris
Arcobello
P1
42.4%
59.7%
P2
42.2%
52.3%
P3
49.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |