Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Cullen 53.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 88.6%
Neutral zone
Cullen 78.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Arcobello
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Arcobello
Cullen
Last 8: Arcobello 5-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Arcobello
Cullen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
54.8% (5,371)
-4.2%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
52.3% (421)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
48.0% (953)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Cullen
Home
53.2% (745)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
48.9% (850)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Arcobello
Cullen
P1
53.2%
54.7%
P2
51.3%
52.8%
P3
48.4%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |