Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Morin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.1% vs Morin 48.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Morin 68.6%
Defensive zone
Morin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Morin 64.8%
Result
Travis Morin favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Arcobello
Morin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Arcobello
Morin
Last 5: Arcobello 1-4 Morin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arcobello
Morin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morin
0
3
Arcobello
Morin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Morin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (858)
45.6% (57)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.1% (58)
66.7% (3)
-4.6%
On power play, Morin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Morin shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Arcobello shoots right. Morin is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Morin
Home
52.7% (478)
50.0% (18)
Away
47.5% (461)
45.2% (42)
By Period
Arcobello
Morin
P1
52.4%
47.6%
P2
51.7%
56.5%
P3
46.4%
31.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Morin
46.0%▼
49.1%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |