Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Morin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Morin 49.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Morin 65.8%
Defensive zone
Morin 68.1%
Neutral zone
Morin 65.6%
Result
Travis Morin favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Arcobello
Morin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Arcobello
Morin
Last 5: Arcobello 1-4 Morin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arcobello
Morin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morin
0
3
Arcobello
Morin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Morin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
48.1% (108)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
75.0% (4)
-14.2%
On power play, Morin has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Morin shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Morin is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Morin
Home
53.2% (745)
45.2% (42)
Away
48.9% (850)
51.4% (70)
By Period
Arcobello
Morin
P1
53.2%
45.0%
P2
51.3%
56.1%
P3
48.4%
45.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Morin
46.0%▼
49.1%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Travis Morin |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |