Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 67.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Arcobello
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Arcobello
Smith
Last 6: Arcobello 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Arcobello
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Arcobello
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
51.2% (342)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
45.3% (985)
-8.5%
On power play, Arcobello has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Smith
Home
53.2% (745)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.9% (850)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Arcobello
Smith
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
51.3%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Zack Smith |