Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.6%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 75.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 65.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Cozens
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Cozens
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
51.3% (347)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
72.7% (11)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
44.0% (75)
-1.6%
On power play, Jankowski has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Cozens
Jankowski
Home
49.5% (638)
46.8% (188)
Away
51.9% (522)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Cozens
Jankowski
P1
51.9%
51.6%
P2
46.4%
49.3%
P3
54.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%