Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%). Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 51.1% vs Jankowski 51.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Bailey
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bailey
Jankowski
Last 5: Bailey 4-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (236)
52.6% (701)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
66.7% (12)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.8% (107)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Bailey shoots left. Jankowski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Bailey
Jankowski
Home
55.0% (140)
56.6% (424)
Away
47.7% (132)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Bailey
Jankowski
P1
57.1%
49.3%
P2
50.0%
57.4%
P3
47.8%
49.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |