Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs McLeod 59.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 65.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Jankowski
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jankowski
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
61.5% (792)
-2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
65.2% (23)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
55.6% (153)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Jankowski
McLeod
Home
54.7% (128)
62.0% (460)
Away
56.3% (215)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Jankowski
McLeod
P1
54.5%
61.5%
P2
56.5%
63.6%
P3
56.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |