Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.9% vs Marner 51.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 57.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Jankowski
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Marner
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Marner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Marner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marner
0
1
Jankowski
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
51.1% (90)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
80.0% (5)
-26.9%
On power play, Marner has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Jankowski is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Jankowski shoots left. Marner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Marner
Home
50.4% (399)
53.1% (49)
Away
47.2% (411)
52.2% (46)
By Period
Jankowski
Marner
P1
49.4%
52.8%
P2
48.7%
40.0%
P3
48.7%
69.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |