Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Marner 43.1% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 75.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 56.8%
Neutral zone
Marner 55.5%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Jankowski
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jankowski
Marner
Last 5: Jankowski 2-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Marner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Marner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marner
0
1
Jankowski
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
42.2% (462)
+9.3%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
55.6% (18)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
35.4% (65)
+7.4%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Marner
Home
51.9% (1,940)
38.2% (293)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Jankowski
Marner
P1
50.0%
39.1%
P2
51.2%
41.1%
P3
50.2%
47.1%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |