Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danielson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danielson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Danielson 42.7% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 88.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 73.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 82.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Jankowski
Danielson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jankowski
Danielson
Last 6: Jankowski 4-2 Danielson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Danielson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danielson
1
2
Jankowski
Danielson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Danielson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Danielson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
37.9% (140)
+16.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
100.0% (1)
-42.5%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danielson shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Danielson is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Danielson
Home
53.9% (310)
38.4% (99)
Away
54.6% (271)
36.2% (47)
By Period
Jankowski
Danielson
P1
54.6%
41.2%
P2
56.3%
37.7%
P3
51.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Nate Danielson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nate Danielson |