Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Bonino 51.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 54.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Jankowski
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jankowski
Bonino
Last 5: Jankowski 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Jankowski
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
51.7% (777)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (50)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
43.9% (98)
-4.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Jankowski shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Bonino
Home
45.3% (64)
48.2% (461)
Away
49.6% (115)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Jankowski
Bonino
P1
53.7%
54.1%
P2
45.8%
49.7%
P3
43.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |