Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Acciari 51.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 77.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 59.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Jankowski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Jankowski
Acciari
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jankowski
Acciari
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
4
Jankowski
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
53.0% (285)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
31.3% (16)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.8% (183)
+6.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Acciari
Home
53.9% (310)
53.2% (267)
Away
54.6% (271)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Jankowski
Acciari
P1
54.6%
53.1%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
51.9%
50.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |