Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Acciari 51.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 74.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 75.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Jankowski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Jankowski
Acciari
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
5
7
Jankowski
Acciari
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
5
Jankowski
Acciari
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
3
Jankowski
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
52.8% (3,276)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
48.2% (85)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
47.1% (1,061)
-4.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Acciari
Home
51.9% (1,940)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Jankowski
Acciari
P1
50.0%
52.2%
P2
51.2%
51.5%
P3
50.2%
50.5%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |