Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Patrick 52.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 55.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 81.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 66.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Jankowski
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Jankowski
Patrick
Last 10: Jankowski 1-9 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
6
Jankowski
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
3
Jankowski
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Jankowski
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
51.2% (371)
-2.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
62.2% (37)
-33.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
59.1% (22)
-19.1%
On power play, Patrick has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Jankowski is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jankowski shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Patrick
Home
50.0% (172)
48.5% (231)
Away
43.0% (151)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Jankowski
Patrick
P1
42.5%
52.0%
P2
49.1%
52.3%
P3
48.5%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |