Mark Jankowski vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.0%). Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Patrick 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 20-6 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 65.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 56.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 53.1%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Jankowski
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
20
(26 meetings)
6
20
Jankowski
Patrick
Last 10: Jankowski 1-9 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
9
Jankowski
Patrick
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
5
Jankowski
Patrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
6
Jankowski
Patrick
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
57.5% (120)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
57.7% (26)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Patrick
Home
51.9% (1,940)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Jankowski
Patrick
P1
50.0%
52.9%
P2
51.2%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
51.3%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |