Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Zacha 51.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Jankowski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jankowski
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
53.3% (646)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.0% (100)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
38.9% (72)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zacha
Home
53.9% (310)
51.7% (410)
Away
54.6% (271)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Jankowski
Zacha
P1
54.6%
57.7%
P2
56.3%
48.9%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |