Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Jankowski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jankowski
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
54.1% (534)
-2.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
56.0% (109)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
44.8% (96)
-0.8%
On power play, Jankowski has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zacha
Home
46.8% (188)
53.4% (406)
Away
53.5% (245)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Jankowski
Zacha
P1
51.6%
56.8%
P2
49.3%
53.6%
P3
50.9%
49.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |