Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Zacha 51.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 76.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 59.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Jankowski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Jankowski
Zacha
Last 10: Jankowski 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Jankowski
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Jankowski
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
53.3% (411)
-4.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
51.8% (114)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
42.0% (81)
-2.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jankowski is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jankowski shoots left. Zacha is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zacha
Home
50.0% (172)
52.2% (295)
Away
43.0% (151)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Jankowski
Zacha
P1
42.5%
50.5%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
48.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |