Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Krebs 45.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 60.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 71.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 68.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Jankowski
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
Krebs
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Jankowski
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
44.6% (388)
+9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
45.0% (20)
+12.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Krebs
Home
53.9% (310)
46.8% (188)
Away
54.6% (271)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Jankowski
Krebs
P1
54.6%
47.2%
P2
56.3%
44.9%
P3
51.9%
41.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |