Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 56.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 55.5%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Jankowski
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Krebs
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
46.0% (2,159)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
52.5% (99)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
38.6% (171)
+4.2%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Krebs
Home
51.9% (1,940)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Jankowski
Krebs
P1
50.0%
45.9%
P2
51.2%
46.4%
P3
50.2%
44.8%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |