Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs McLeod 52.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 54.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 50.1%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 56.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Jankowski
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Jankowski
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Jankowski
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Jankowski
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
52.9% (904)
-1.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
57.6% (59)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
49.0% (241)
-5.0%
On power play, Jankowski has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Jankowski
McLeod
Home
46.8% (188)
51.8% (612)
Away
53.5% (245)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Jankowski
McLeod
P1
51.6%
55.4%
P2
49.3%
50.8%
P3
50.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |