Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 45.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 79.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 58.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 58.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Jankowski
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jankowski
Steel
Last 5: Jankowski 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Jankowski
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (349)
49.7% (638)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
60.3% (63)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (70)
42.4% (33)
-8.1%
On power play, Steel has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Jankowski is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Jankowski shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Steel
Home
47.0% (183)
47.3% (349)
Away
43.0% (242)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Jankowski
Steel
P1
44.5%
51.2%
P2
42.9%
49.8%
P3
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |