Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.2%). Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 50.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 66.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Jankowski
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jankowski
Steel
Last 7: Jankowski 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Jankowski
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
50.6% (2,876)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
62.6% (179)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
37.4% (254)
+5.4%
On power play, Steel has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Steel
Home
51.9% (1,940)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Jankowski
Steel
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
51.2%
49.5%
P3
50.2%
49.6%
OT
20.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |