Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Pinto 50.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 61.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 57.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 58.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Jankowski
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jankowski
Pinto
Last 6: Jankowski 3-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Jankowski
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
50.4% (779)
+0.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
55.2% (29)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
44.9% (78)
-0.9%
On power play, Jankowski has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Pinto
Home
46.8% (188)
52.4% (454)
Away
53.5% (245)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Jankowski
Pinto
P1
51.6%
48.1%
P2
49.3%
52.9%
P3
50.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |