Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Wright 43.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 76.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 59.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 56.5%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Jankowski
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Wright
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Jankowski
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
42.6% (1,318)
+8.9%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
45.8% (131)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
33.3% (6)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Wright
Home
51.9% (1,940)
44.2% (746)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Jankowski
Wright
P1
50.0%
44.4%
P2
51.2%
40.7%
P3
50.2%
44.0%
OT
20.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |