Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jankowski
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Jankowski
Crosby
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Jankowski
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
53.7% (984)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.7% (241)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
64.3% (14)
-6.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Crosby
Home
53.9% (310)
56.9% (649)
Away
54.6% (271)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Jankowski
Crosby
P1
54.6%
55.8%
P2
56.3%
53.2%
P3
51.9%
58.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |