Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Crosby 52.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 80.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 87.0%
13.0%
87.0%
Jankowski
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jankowski
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Jankowski
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
52.5% (1,443)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.7% (369)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
55.9% (34)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Jankowski shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Crosby
Home
54.7% (128)
53.0% (931)
Away
56.3% (215)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Jankowski
Crosby
P1
54.5%
50.3%
P2
56.5%
55.4%
P3
56.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |