Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 77.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 54.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 63.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Jankowski
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Jankowski
Bozak
Last 10: Jankowski 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Jankowski
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
5
1
Jankowski
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
6
3
Jankowski
Bozak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Bozak
Home
51.9% (1,940)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Jankowski
Bozak
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
51.2%
52.8%
P3
50.2%
54.5%
OT
20.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |