Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Kozak 49.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 54.1%
Defensive zone
Kozak 82.2%
Neutral zone
Kozak 65.9%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Jankowski
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jankowski
Kozak
Last 7: Jankowski 2-5 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Jankowski
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
49.3% (294)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.0% (40)
+7.5%
On power play, Kozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kozak
Home
53.9% (310)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.6% (271)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Jankowski
Kozak
P1
54.6%
53.4%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |