Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Kozak 48.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kozak 55.8%
Defensive zone
Kozak 68.1%
Neutral zone
Kozak 61.0%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Jankowski
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jankowski
Kozak
Last 7: Jankowski 2-5 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Jankowski
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
48.3% (431)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
62.5% (8)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
48.9% (45)
-6.1%
On power play, Kozak has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kozak
Home
51.9% (1,940)
47.6% (229)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Jankowski
Kozak
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
51.2%
45.7%
P3
50.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |