Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Mark Kastelic
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 93.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 77.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Last 5: Kuznetsov 1-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
58.0% (476)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
75.0% (8)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
50.9% (106)
-11.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Home
45.9% (534)
64.9% (265)
Away
49.2% (535)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
P1
44.8%
58.5%
P2
52.1%
55.6%
P3
44.5%
56.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |