Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 95.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 69.9%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 85.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Roslovic
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Roslovic
Kastelic
Last 5: Roslovic 0-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Roslovic
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Roslovic
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
58.0% (476)
-12.2%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
75.0% (8)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
50.9% (106)
-12.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Kastelic
Home
45.4% (447)
64.9% (265)
Away
44.6% (442)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Roslovic
Kastelic
P1
43.2%
58.5%
P2
44.7%
55.6%
P3
47.2%
56.8%
Final 5 min
43.0%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |