Justin Hryckowian vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hryckowian on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.6% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 54.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 89.2%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 65.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Last 6: Hryckowian 6-0 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
3
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
1
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (214)
61.2% (340)
-1.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
83.3% (6)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
56.0% (141)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hryckowian is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Hryckowian shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Home
58.1% (129)
60.9% (233)
Away
54.6% (119)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Hryckowian
Kastelic
P1
49.3%
58.6%
P2
65.4%
58.7%
P3
52.2%
63.1%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
52.0%▼
56.0%
56.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |