Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Kastelic 53.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 66.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Glendening
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Glendening
Kastelic
Last 7: Glendening 1-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Glendening
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
Glendening
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
55.4% (345)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
50.0% (4)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
35.3% (17)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Glendening shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Glendening
Kastelic
Home
54.3% (468)
50.6% (162)
Away
60.0% (413)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Glendening
Kastelic
P1
58.2%
61.5%
P2
57.6%
52.8%
P3
56.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |