Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Cousins 45.2% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.0%
Neutral zone
Cousins 51.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Kastelic
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Cousins
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Kastelic
Cousins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
1
Kastelic
Cousins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Kastelic
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
44.9% (1,508)
+12.1%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
44.6% (101)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
42.9% (7)
+10.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Cousins is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Cousins
Home
58.9% (895)
46.7% (809)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Kastelic
Cousins
P1
58.5%
47.5%
P2
56.9%
43.6%
P3
55.3%
43.6%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |