Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Danault 54.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 68.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Kastelic
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
55.1% (953)
+2.9%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
64.6% (144)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
42.0% (176)
+8.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Danault
Home
64.9% (265)
55.4% (641)
Away
50.5% (325)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Kastelic
Danault
P1
58.5%
61.0%
P2
55.6%
52.3%
P3
56.8%
51.3%
Final 5 min
62.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |