Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sanford on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Sanford 42.0% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sanford 54.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 51.4%
Neutral zone
Sanford 56.8%
Result
Zachary Sanford favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Kastelic
Sanford
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Sanford
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Sanford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kastelic
Sanford
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sanford
1
2
Kastelic
Sanford
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
34.7% (118)
+18.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Sanford is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Sanford
Home
56.2% (162)
32.9% (73)
Away
52.9% (187)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Kastelic
Sanford
P1
58.2%
27.0%
P2
58.8%
34.9%
P3
45.4%
43.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Zachary Sanford |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Zachary Sanford |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Zachary Sanford |