Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 47.8% vs Letestu 51.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 57.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 69.6%
Neutral zone
Letestu 65.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Gaunce
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaunce
Letestu
Last 9: Gaunce 5-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
1
Gaunce
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
3
Gaunce
Letestu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (92)
52.5% (755)
-9.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.3% (167)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
69.2% (13)
46.3% (240)
+22.9%
On power play, Letestu has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Gaunce is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Gaunce shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Letestu
Home
32.4% (37)
54.9% (554)
Away
52.9% (70)
48.0% (608)
By Period
Gaunce
Letestu
P1
51.2%
50.7%
P2
46.7%
54.6%
P3
38.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
45.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |