Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Letestu 51.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 63.1%
Defensive zone
Letestu 63.5%
Neutral zone
Letestu 65.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Thornton
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thornton
Letestu
Last 6: Thornton 2-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
3
Thornton
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Thornton
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
52.8% (544)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
55.9% (111)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
35.6% (59)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Thornton shoots left. Letestu is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Thornton
Letestu
Home
59.0% (493)
53.6% (317)
Away
53.2% (500)
50.6% (405)
By Period
Thornton
Letestu
P1
55.3%
51.3%
P2
55.4%
55.4%
P3
57.1%
49.2%
OT
59.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |