Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 47.8% vs Letestu 51.2% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 81.5%
Defensive zone
Bailey 60.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 68.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Bailey
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bailey
Letestu
Last 5: Bailey 1-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
3
Bailey
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Bailey
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (27)
52.5% (755)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.3% (167)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.3% (240)
-6.3%
On even strength, Letestu has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Bailey is 23.1% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Bailey shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Bailey
Letestu
Home
37.5% (24)
54.9% (554)
Away
50.0% (10)
48.0% (608)
By Period
Bailey
Letestu
P1
60.0%
50.7%
P2
46.2%
54.6%
P3
8.3%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.2%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |